blog
April 8, 2025
Tariff Turmoil: Where Do We Go From Here?

April 7, 2025: Markets got quite a surprise from the Trump administration last week in the form of tariffs above even the most aggressive forecasts, increasing the risks to economic growth and corporate profits. China quickly retaliated, Europe may follow with tariffs of the...

April 1, 2025
Tariff Uncertainty Facing Stocks to Start Clearing Soon

March 31, 2025: Wednesday is the big day when the Trump administration will provide more clarity on their tariff plans. The latest news has been a mix of encouraging talk about narrow reciprocal tariffs and deep and biting auto (and auto parts) tariffs. It’s tough to lay o...

March 28, 2025
Powell Walked a Tightrope

March 24, 2025: Trade uncertainty and nagging inflation made Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell walk a tightrope at the latest press conference. The Chairman of the Fed’s monetary policy-setting committee stressed the uncertainty about economic forecasting, tariff i...

March 17, 2025
Market Correction Perspective

March 17, 2025: U.S. equity markets officially entered correction territory last week for the first time in 344 trading days. Tariff uncertainty feeding into economic growth concerns has been the primary catalyst behind the risk-off rotation. The 10% drop — the technical q...

March 10, 2025
Navigating Strategic and Tactical Investment Horizons: The Differences

March 10, 2025: Heightened volatility and uncertainty in both financial markets and the broader economy present challenges and opportunities for investors. Understanding the fundamental differences between the strategic and tactical investment horizons through which an inves...

March 3, 2025
Earnings Season Recap: Strong Growth, Big Upside, Now What?

March 3, 2025: Fourth quarter earnings season is nearly complete, and it has been a good one. S&P 500 companies grew profits more than 18% year over year, according to FactSet data, with mega cap technology and financial companies doing most of the heavy lifting (about seven...

February 24, 2025
Refinancing ZIRP

February 24, 2025: The U.S. Treasury market is entering a significant transition period in 2025, facing both structural adjustments and all-too-familiar policy discussions. As the Federal Reserve's (Fed) shift from a zero interest-rate policy (ZIRP) coincides with a substant...

February 18, 2025
Tariffs Ignite a Metals Melt-Up

February 18, 2025: Stocks continued to climb the wall of worry last week and shrugged off tariff headlines, inflation volatility, and signs of a slowdown in retail spending. President Trump reinstated a full 25% tariff on all steel imports — effectively closing any loophol...

February 10, 2025
Key Pillars of the Bull and Bear Cases in 2025

February 10, 2025: Use of the terms “bull” and “bear” in financial markets can be traced back to London’s financial district in the late 19th century, used as an analogy for how each animal attacks; the bull thrusts its horns upwards, and a bear swipes its paws dow...

February 4, 2025
Tariff Turbulence

February 4, 2025: Over the weekend, President Trump unveiled a new set of tariffs targeting goods imported from Canada, Mexico, and China. The new policy included a 25% tariff on goods coming from Canada and Mexico, with the exception of Canadian fuel imports, which faced a ...

February 3, 2025
U.S. Exceptionalism: Is It Still Intact?

February 3, 2025: With China’s DeepSeek pressuring investors to take a closer look at the current environment of artificial intelligence (AI) development within the U.S., some are taking a moment to question the accuracy of a much larger idea — American Exceptionalism. E...

January 27, 2025
Is the Bond Market Worried About Inflation?

January 27, 2025: The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates last September and, to date, the central bank has lowered rates by 1%. But over the same period, long-term Treasury yields are higher by 1% (per the 10-year Treasury yield). Does that mean bond investors are worr...