blog
July 15, 2024
Key Themes for Stocks in the Second Half of 2024

July 15, 2024: Outlook 2024: A Turning Point, released in December 2023, featured our perspective on how stocks might respond to turning points in inflation and monetary policy. That response was quite positive as we now know, as easing inflation, anticipation of Federal Res...

July 1, 2024
Double Digit Earnings Growth on Tap

With stock valuations elevated after such a strong first half, earnings growth will be key to holding, or potentially building on these gains. LPL Research believes stocks have gotten a bit over their skis, but earnings season may not be the catalyst for a pullback in the ne...

June 26, 2024
Artificial Intelligence: The Antidote to Fed Policy?

June 26, 2024: Developments in artificial intelligence may be the antidote for an aging population, but it takes time for these advancements to work themselves into the fabric of our nation’s businesses. The impact of new developments can persist in markets, so investors n...

June 17, 2024
Keep Calm and Clip Bond Coupons

June 17, 2024: With a Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, a Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting, two very important inflation reports, and nearly $120 billion of new Treasury securities auctioned — last week was quite the week for markets. And while the Fed meeting was supposed to get ...

June 10, 2024
India at the Crossroads

June 10, 2024: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent victory in the national elections was muted at best. While he secured a rare third term in the nation’s highest office, his decisive legislative supermajority failed to materialize. Modi has made revitalizing th...

June 3, 2024
Adjusting the Sector Sails

June 3, 2024: To say May was an eventful month for the market is an understatement. Investors navigated around the latter half of first-quarter earnings, a breakout to record highs for the broader market, elevated volatility across fixed income and currency markets, and a mi...

May 28, 2024
Earnings Are Doing Their Part

May 28, 2024: The first quarter earnings season is largely in the books, and it was excellent. In fact, S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) would have been up double digits in the quarter if not for a big loss Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) absorbed in an acquisition. Even with tha...

May 13, 2024
Preferred Securities: Still Our Preferred Non-Core Bond Sector

May 13, 2024: It continues to be a challenging environment for a lot of fixed income markets, especially higher quality markets. With the Federal Reserve (Fed) seemingly unlikely to lower interest rates until after the summer months (at the earliest), the “higher for longe...

May 6, 2024
Sell in May? Maybe Not. Is It More Rhyme Than Reason?

May 6, 2024: “Sell in May and Go Away” is one of the most widely used maxims on Wall Street. There is no shortage of financial media coverage on this topic as the calendar turns to May. However, this phrase may be more rhyme than reason, as stocks tend to trade higher du...

April 29, 2024
That Was Quite a Week: A Pivotal One for the Markets

Last week was a pivotal one for markets, with the S&P 500 coming off a 3% weekly decline the week before. In terms of economic data, we got our first look at first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) as well as the March reading of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) favorite inf...

April 22, 2024
Volatility Is Back: Understanding Ever-Changing Market Narrative

April 22, 2024: Volatility has come back into the market as the narrative shifted toward a higher-for-longer monetary policy backdrop. Signs of sticky inflation and a resilient economy, including a strong labor market, have underpinned the change in expectations. Yields have...

April 15, 2024
Revisiting Energy: How Rate Cuts Could Benefit the Space

April 15, 2024: As the first quarter earnings season kicked off on April 12, expectations for the energy sector were decidedly negative. That low bar has tempted analysts to forecast a series of positive surprises as recent data releases for both the U.S. and China suggest a...