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Category: Market Updates

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February 4, 2023
Brightening Outlook for International Equities: Have the Tides Turned

February 4, 2023: Investors got more excited about international investing late last year. Some of that was chasing better returns, as developed international equities solidly beat the U.S. over the last three months of 2022. Some was the increased popularity of value invest...

January 31, 2023
Will January’s Market Hit the Trifecta? The Seasonal Indicators

January 30, 2023: The script has been flipped in 2023. Last year’s underperformers have turned into outperformers this year, driving the S&P 500 Index up over 5% this month. The pace and composition of the rally have left many investors skeptical over its sustainability, e...

January 24, 2023
A Feisty Bull-Bear Debate: Weighing the Pros and Cons

January 23, 2023: The latest episode of the debate between stock market bulls and bears has gotten more interesting. For every valid point from one side, there’s an equally compelling argument on the other side. Perhaps the best reason for the debate is the uniqueness of t...

January 17, 2023
Q4 Earnings Preview: Pessimism May Be Overdone

January 17, 2023: Fourth quarter earnings season is underway and probably won’t bring much good news. Lackluster global growth, ongoing profit margin pressures from inflation, and negative currency impacts are likely to translate into a year-over-year decline in S&P 500 In...

January 9, 2023
Market, Stocks, and Bonds Lessons Learned from 2022

January 9, 2023: We believe accountability and modesty are among the keys to success in this business. In striving for those qualities, LPL Research has a tradition of starting off a new year with a lessons learned commentary. We got some things wrong last year, no doubt. Bu...

January 3, 2023
2023 Market Outlook: LPL Research Takes a Look at the Year Ahead

January 3, 2023: 2022 was a dizzying year as markets and the global economy continued to find itself out of balance due to the still present aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the policy response to it. If 2022 was about recognizing imbalances that had built in the ec...

December 19, 2022
Historic Year for Central Bank Activity and Rate Hikes

December 19, 2022: The Federal Reserve (Fed) wrapped up its last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the year last week, where it hiked short-term interest rates for the seventh time in as many meetings, taking the fed funds rate to 4.5% (upper bound). A day late...

December 12, 2022
December Down but Not Out: Seasonality Trends Point to Market Recovery

December 12, 2022: December is off to a rough start, and so far it’s not living up to its seasonal reputation of being one of the best months for equity market returns. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has historically produced average returns of just over 1.5% and has finished the...

December 5, 2022
Resilient Consumers Have Not Saved Retail Stocks

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. However, consumers were likely tapping into ...

November 21, 2022
Playbook for a Fed Pivot: Exploring Equity and Fixed Income Market Performance

November 21, 2022: Recent inflation data has tempered expectations for future Federal Reserve tightening, including a potential peak in the terminal rate near 5.0% in May or June of 2023. While the market has welcomed this news, history suggests the path to a Fed pivot could...

November 14, 2022
Inflation and Rising Rates Supports Value

November 14, 2022: The growth vs. value debate has been pretty one-sided in 2022, with value outperforming growth for a sustained period for the first time in almost 15 years. However, the debate is heating up as investors begin to consider whether the pendulum will swing ba...

November 7, 2022
How Midterm Elections May Move Markets

November 7, 2022: Midterm elections are upon us, with Election Day on Tuesday. Republicans are strongly favored to win the House, and the Senate is roughly a tossup. We believe either outcome would be market-friendly, although the bigger market driver will likely be central ...